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Through games of Mar 11, 2018.


Clemson

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:11.0
Current RPI:11
Expected SOS:14
Current SOS:14
Current Record:23-9
Expected Record:23-9
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:11-1
Expected OOC Record:11-1
Expected OOC RPI:12
Expected OOC SOS:61



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
23-911.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Clemson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Western Carolina (215.0)SCH85-57W100%0.0
11-12North Carolina A&T (238.0)MEACH87-63W100%0.0
11-16Ohio (204.0)MACN76-81W100%0.0
11-17Hofstra (121.0)CAAN59-78W100%0.0
11-19Temple (52.0)AmerN60-67L0%0.0
11-24Texas Southern (222.0)SWACH84-77W100%0.0
11-29Ohio St. (20.0)B10A65-79W100%0.0
12-3UNC Asheville (130.0)BSthH83-52W100%0.0
12-9Samford (296.0)SCH81-59W100%0.0
12-16Florida (46.0)SECN69-71W100%0.0
12-19South Carolina (90.0)SECH64-48W100%0.0
12-22Louisiana Lafayette (63.0)SBH89-60W100%0.0
12-30North Carolina St. (64.0)ACCH78-62W100%0.0
1-3Boston College (96.0)ACCA70-74W100%0.0
1-6Louisville (38.0)ACCH74-69W100%0.0
1-11North Carolina St. (64.0)ACCA78-77L0%0.0
1-13Miami FL (28.0)ACCH72-63W100%0.0
1-16North Carolina (4.0)ACCA87-79L0%0.0
1-20Notre Dame (70.0)ACCH67-58W100%0.0
1-23Virginia (1.0)ACCA61-36L0%0.0
1-28Georgia Tech (161.0)ACCA70-72W100%0.0
1-30North Carolina (4.0)ACCH82-78W100%0.0
2-3Wake Forest (160.0)ACCA67-75W100%0.0
2-8Pittsburgh (217.0)ACCH72-48W100%0.0
2-14Florida St. (54.0)ACCA81-79L0%0.0
2-18Duke (7.0)ACCH57-66L0%0.0
2-21Virginia Tech (61.0)ACCA65-58L0%0.0
2-24Georgia Tech (161.0)ACCH75-67W100%0.0
2-28Florida St. (54.0)ACCH76-63W100%0.0
3-3Syracuse (45.0)ACCA55-52L0%0.0
3-8Boston College (96.0)ACCN90-82W100%0.0
3-9Virginia (1.0)ACCN64-58L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Clemson's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Clemson's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Clemson.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
ClemsonACC26.0726.0772.6672.6611.8111.81
North CarolinaACC3.833.8372.7372.731.741.74
Boston CollegeACC3.783.7859.3859.380.710.71
VirginiaACC3.753.7593.5593.553.263.26
Georgia TechACC3.703.7043.3343.33-0.49-0.49
Florida St.ACC3.703.7065.5265.521.151.15
North Carolina St.ACC3.703.7066.6766.671.231.23
Notre DameACC2.282.2859.3859.380.430.43
LouisvilleACC2.262.2662.5062.500.570.57
SyracuseACC2.252.2559.3859.380.420.42
DukeACC2.232.2378.1278.121.251.25
Miami FLACC2.212.2173.3373.331.031.03
Virginia TechACC2.192.1964.5264.520.630.63
Wake ForestACC2.192.1936.6736.67-0.58-0.58
PittsburghACC2.142.1425.8125.81-1.03-1.03
FloridaSEC1.691.6964.5264.520.490.49
Western CarolinaSC1.681.6837.9337.93-0.41-0.41
South CarolinaSEC1.641.6451.6151.610.050.05
Ohio St.B101.631.6377.4277.420.890.89
SamfordSC1.611.6127.5927.59-0.72-0.72
Texas SouthernSWAC1.611.6145.4545.45-0.15-0.15
UNC AshevilleBSth1.591.5963.3363.330.420.42
North Carolina A&TMEAC1.591.5958.0658.060.260.26
TempleAmer1.591.5951.6151.610.050.05
HofstraCAA1.561.5662.0762.070.380.38
Louisiana LafayetteSB1.561.5683.3383.331.041.04
OhioMAC1.561.5644.8344.83-0.16-0.16
UNC GreensboroSC0.250.2577.4277.420.140.14
WoffordSC0.250.2560.0060.000.050.05
TennesseeSEC0.240.2475.7675.760.120.12
The CitadelSC0.230.2327.5927.59-0.10-0.10
FurmanSC0.180.1867.7467.740.060.06
Charleston SouthernBSth0.170.1742.8642.86-0.02-0.02
GeorgiaSEC0.170.1754.5554.550.020.02
ArkansasSEC0.170.1767.6567.650.060.06
TulaneAmer0.170.1745.1645.16-0.02-0.02
VMISC0.150.1525.0025.00-0.08-0.08
PresbyterianBSth0.150.1527.5927.59-0.07-0.07
Penn St.B100.150.1561.7661.760.030.03
VanderbiltSEC0.150.1537.5037.50-0.04-0.04
ChattanoogaSC0.130.1325.8125.81-0.06-0.06
Alabama A&MSWAC0.120.129.689.68-0.10-0.10
AuburnSEC0.120.1278.1278.120.070.07
RadfordBSth0.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
MississippiSEC0.120.1237.5037.50-0.03-0.03
KentuckySEC0.120.1270.5970.590.050.05
IndianaB100.120.1251.6151.610.000.00
South Carolina St.MEAC0.120.1226.6726.67-0.06-0.06
Michigan St.B100.120.1287.8887.880.090.09
East Tennessee St.SC0.100.1071.8871.880.050.05
MercerSC0.100.1053.3353.330.010.01
Miami OHMAC0.100.1045.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.100.1028.5728.57-0.04-0.04
UT ArlingtonSB0.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
High PointBSth0.100.1040.7440.74-0.02-0.02
LibertyBSth0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.100.1037.9337.93-0.02-0.02
George WashingtonA100.100.1045.4545.45-0.01-0.01
CincinnatiAmer0.100.1088.2488.240.080.08
Coppin St.MEAC0.100.1015.6215.62-0.07-0.07
RutgersB100.100.1042.4242.42-0.02-0.02
ToledoMAC0.100.1066.6766.670.030.03
MonmouthMAAC0.100.1035.4835.48-0.03-0.03
LSUSEC0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
Florida A&MMEAC0.100.1024.2424.24-0.05-0.05
IowaB100.100.1042.4242.42-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.100.106.676.67-0.08-0.08
Savannah St.MEAC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Wichita St.Amer0.100.1078.1278.120.050.05
RichmondA100.100.1037.5037.50-0.02-0.02
HamptonMEAC0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
WisconsinB100.100.1045.4545.45-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.100.1040.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.090.0945.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
MichiganB100.090.0979.4179.410.050.05
Northern IowaMVC0.090.0946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
DavidsonA100.090.0965.6265.620.030.03
College of CharlestonCAA0.080.0877.4277.420.040.04
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.080.0837.5037.50-0.02-0.02
James MadisonCAA0.080.0829.0329.03-0.03-0.03
NortheasternCAA0.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
TowsonCAA0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
William & MaryCAA0.080.0858.6258.620.010.01
BuffaloMAC0.080.0875.7675.760.040.04
DelawareCAA0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
ElonCAA0.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Appalachian St.SB0.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
MinnesotaB100.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Texas St.SB0.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.070.0763.3363.330.020.02
Western MichiganMAC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
Coastal CarolinaSB0.070.0737.9337.93-0.02-0.02
Oklahoma St.B120.070.0757.5857.580.010.01
MarylandB100.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
MemphisAmer0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
HoustonAmer0.070.0778.7978.790.040.04
AlabamaSEC0.070.0755.8855.880.010.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
JacksonvilleASun0.070.0737.9337.93-0.02-0.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.070.0716.6716.67-0.05-0.05
Mississippi St.SEC0.070.0765.6265.620.020.02
NorthwesternB100.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.070.0748.4848.48-0.00-0.00
WyomingMWC0.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
Austin PeayOVC0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
Rhode IslandA100.070.0778.1278.120.040.04
BryantNEC0.070.079.689.68-0.06-0.06
ConnecticutAmer0.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.070.0712.5012.50-0.05-0.05
GonzagaWCC0.070.0788.2488.240.050.05
LehighPat0.070.0751.7251.720.000.00
West VirginiaB120.070.0770.5970.590.030.03
Central ConnecticutNEC0.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
NebraskaB100.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
Texas TechB120.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
ColgatePat0.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
DartmouthIvy0.070.0723.0823.08-0.04-0.04
SouthernSWAC0.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Alabama St.SWAC0.070.0725.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.070.0740.0040.00-0.01-0.01
AkronMAC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Central MichiganMAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
DaytonA100.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Kent St.MAC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
ArmyPat0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
MassachusettsA100.050.0539.3939.39-0.01-0.01
VillanovaBE0.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
CampbellBSth0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Colorado St.MWC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
FordhamA100.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Little RockSB0.050.0520.0020.00-0.03-0.03
LongwoodBSth0.050.0513.3313.33-0.04-0.04
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0546.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Loyola MDPat0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
South AlabamaSB0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
TroySB0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
WinthropBSth0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
Ball St.MAC0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
IonaMAAC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
SienaMAAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0532.0032.00-0.02-0.02
NavyPat0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
North FloridaASun0.050.0536.6736.67-0.01-0.01
ArizonaP120.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
DuquesneA100.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
HowardMEAC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
MissouriSEC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
North TexasCUSA0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Texas A&MSEC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
TulsaAmer0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
UCFAmer0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
UCLAP120.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
UMKCWAC0.050.0527.5927.59-0.02-0.02
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
YaleIvy0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
GeorgetownBE0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
PurdueB100.050.0582.3582.350.030.03
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
BaylorB120.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
VCUA100.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
KansasB120.050.0579.4179.410.030.03
OaklandHorz0.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
ColumbiaIvy0.050.0526.9226.92-0.02-0.02
HartfordAE0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
MaineAE0.050.0513.3313.33-0.03-0.03
ProvidenceBE0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
Sacred HeartNEC0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
BucknellPat0.040.0473.5373.530.020.02
PortlandWCC0.040.0424.1424.14-0.02-0.02
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
ManhattanMAAC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MarshallCUSA0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
RiderMAAC0.030.0370.9770.970.010.01
Stony BrookAE0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
ValparaisoMVC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Boston UniversityPat0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
DrakeMVC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Georgia St.SB0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
HawaiiBW0.030.0353.5753.570.000.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.030.0376.6776.670.010.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
New OrleansSlnd0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
PrincetonIvy0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
QuinnipiacMAAC0.030.0336.3636.36-0.01-0.01
Saint Mary'sWCC0.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
USC UpstateASun0.030.0310.7110.71-0.02-0.02
ButlerBE0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0220.0020.00-0.01-0.01
FIUCUSA0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.020.0210.7110.71-0.02-0.02
Illinois St.MVC0.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
Incarnate WordSlnd0.020.0212.5012.50-0.02-0.02
LamarSlnd0.020.0253.5753.570.000.00
MontanaBSky0.020.0277.4277.420.010.01
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0222.2222.22-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.020.0236.6736.67-0.01-0.01
New HampshireAE0.020.0227.5927.59-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
PennIvy0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Saint LouisA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
SMUAmer0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
South FloridaAmer0.020.0231.2531.25-0.01-0.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.020.0246.4346.43-0.00-0.00
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.020.0270.0070.000.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
WashingtonP120.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
AlbanyAE0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
Chicago St.WAC0.020.023.333.33-0.02-0.02
CornellIvy0.020.0240.7440.74-0.00-0.00
DePaulBE0.020.0235.4835.48-0.01-0.01
EvansvilleMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
George MasonA100.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
Portland St.BSky0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Seton HallBE0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
South DakotaSum0.020.0273.3373.330.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
TexasB120.020.0257.5857.580.000.00
Utah ValleyWAC0.020.0265.5265.520.010.01
BYUWCC0.020.0270.5970.590.010.01
OregonP120.020.0264.7164.710.010.01
TCUB120.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
Washington St.P120.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01