Oklahoma

Conference:	B12
Expected RPI:	49.0
Current RPI:	49
Expected SOS:	26
Current SOS:	26
Current Record:	18-13
Expected Record:	18-13
Current Conf Record:	8-11
Expected Conf Record:	8-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	4-0
Current OOC Record:	10-2
Expected OOC Record:	10-2
Expected OOC RPI:	30
Expected OOC SOS:	136

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-13	49.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-12	Nebraska Omaha (284.0)	Sum	H	108-89	W	100%
11-15	Ball St. (126.0)	MAC	H	108-69	W	100%
11-23	Arkansas (30.0)	SEC	N	83-92	L	0%
11-24	Portland (285.0)	WCC	N	71-93	W	100%
11-26	Oregon (72.0)	P12	N	80-90	W	100%
11-30	North Texas (235.0)	CUSA	H	82-72	W	100%
12-4	UTSA (187.0)	CUSA	H	97-85	W	100%
12-8	USC (34.0)	P12	N	83-85	W	100%
12-16	Wichita St. (16.0)	Amer	A	83-91	W	100%
12-19	Northwestern St. (342.0)	Slnd	H	105-68	W	100%
12-22	Northwestern (168.0)	B10	H	104-78	W	100%
12-30	TCU (26.0)	B12	A	89-90	W	100%
1-3	Oklahoma St. (88.0)	B12	H	109-89	W	100%
1-6	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	A	89-76	L	0%
1-9	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	H	75-65	W	100%
1-13	TCU (26.0)	B12	H	102-97	W	100%
1-16	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	A	87-69	L	0%
1-20	Oklahoma St. (88.0)	B12	A	83-81	L	0%
1-23	Kansas (5.0)	B12	H	85-80	W	100%
1-27	Alabama (42.0)	SEC	A	80-73	L	0%
1-30	Baylor (68.0)	B12	H	98-96	W	100%
2-3	Texas (51.0)	B12	A	79-74	L	0%
2-5	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	H	73-75	L	0%
2-10	Iowa St. (144.0)	B12	A	88-80	L	0%
2-13	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	A	88-78	L	0%
2-17	Texas (51.0)	B12	H	66-77	L	0%
2-19	Kansas (5.0)	B12	A	104-74	L	0%
2-24	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	H	86-77	W	100%
2-27	Baylor (68.0)	B12	A	87-64	L	0%
3-2	Iowa St. (144.0)	B12	H	81-60	W	100%
3-7	Oklahoma St. (88.0)	B12	N	71-60	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Oklahoma's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Oklahoma.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Oklahoma	B12	26.33	26.33	57.14	57.14	3.76	3.76
Oklahoma St.	B12	5.73	5.73	56.67	56.67	0.76	0.76
Kansas	B12	4.27	4.27	81.25	81.25	2.67	2.67
Texas	B12	4.22	4.22	54.84	54.84	0.41	0.41
West Virginia	B12	4.22	4.22	68.75	68.75	1.58	1.58
Texas Tech	B12	4.19	4.19	74.19	74.19	2.03	2.03
Kansas St.	B12	4.16	4.16	67.74	67.74	1.48	1.48
TCU	B12	4.14	4.14	70.00	70.00	1.66	1.66
Baylor	B12	4.13	4.13	55.17	55.17	0.43	0.43
Iowa St.	B12	4.11	4.11	41.38	41.38	-0.71	-0.71
Wichita St.	Amer	1.74	1.74	80.65	80.65	1.07	1.07
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	1.71	1.71	25.00	25.00	-0.86	-0.86
Oregon	P12	1.71	1.71	66.67	66.67	0.57	0.57
Arkansas	SEC	1.71	1.71	66.67	66.67	0.57	0.57
Alabama	SEC	1.69	1.69	54.55	54.55	0.15	0.15
USC	P12	1.68	1.68	69.70	69.70	0.66	0.66
North Texas	CUSA	1.67	1.67	44.83	44.83	-0.17	-0.17
UTSA	CUSA	1.67	1.67	55.17	55.17	0.17	0.17
Northwestern	B10	1.66	1.66	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Northwestern St.	Slnd	1.66	1.66	8.33	8.33	-1.38	-1.38
Ball St.	MAC	1.64	1.64	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Portland	WCC	1.61	1.61	25.00	25.00	-0.81	-0.81
Texas A&M	SEC	0.31	0.31	62.50	62.50	0.08	0.08
Tulsa	Amer	0.25	0.25	61.29	61.29	0.06	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.20	0.20	28.57	28.57	-0.09	-0.09
Rice	CUSA	0.19	0.19	17.24	17.24	-0.12	-0.12
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.18	0.18	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.17	44.12	44.12	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri	SEC	0.17	0.17	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.17	0.17	37.50	37.50	-0.04	-0.04
Arizona St.	P12	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.17	70.59	70.59	0.07	0.07
SMU	Amer	0.16	0.16	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Washington	P12	0.15	0.15	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P12	0.14	0.14	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UTEP	CUSA	0.13	0.13	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	Sum	0.13	0.13	73.33	73.33	0.06	0.06
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.13	0.13	10.71	10.71	-0.10	-0.10
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.13	0.13	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.13	0.13	16.13	16.13	-0.09	-0.09
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.13	0.13	80.00	80.00	0.08	0.08
Nebraska	B10	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Utah	P12	0.13	0.13	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Charlotte	CUSA	0.13	0.13	17.86	17.86	-0.08	-0.08
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.12	0.12	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
UCF	Amer	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.12	0.12	25.00	25.00	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.12	0.12	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P12	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.12	0.12	78.12	78.12	0.07	0.07
Oregon St.	P12	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P12	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.11	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.10	88.24	88.24	0.08	0.08
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	25.00	25.00	-0.05	-0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.10	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Houston	Amer	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Nevada	MWC	0.10	0.10	79.41	79.41	0.06	0.06
Connecticut	Amer	0.10	0.10	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
California	P12	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
American	Pat	0.10	0.10	20.00	20.00	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
LSU	SEC	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P12	0.09	0.09	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.09	0.09	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.08	0.08	44.44	44.44	-0.01	-0.01
FIU	CUSA	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Southern Miss	CUSA	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
BYU	WCC	0.08	0.08	70.59	70.59	0.03	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Creighton	BE	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.08	0.08	76.67	76.67	0.04	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	Amer	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.07	0.07	24.24	24.24	-0.04	-0.04
UMKC	WAC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	12.50	12.50	-0.05	-0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Colorado	P12	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	15.62	15.62	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	Slnd	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.04	0.04
Denver	Sum	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Montana St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pacific	WCC	0.06	0.06	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.06	0.06	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SB	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Maryland	B10	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	16.67	16.67	-0.03	-0.03
Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	MVC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	BE	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	71.43	71.43	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	ACC	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
UT Arlington	SB	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Belmont	OVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	Amer	0.05	0.05	88.24	88.24	0.04	0.04
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Memphis	Amer	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Butler	BE	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
USC Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	10.71	10.71	-0.04	-0.04
VCU	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Fresno St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
NJIT	ASun	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Horz	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Syracuse	ACC	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	93.94	93.94	0.04	0.04
Incarnate Word	Slnd	0.03	0.03	12.50	12.50	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	53.57	53.57	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
Louisville	ACC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	16.67	16.67	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	10.34	10.34	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	WAC	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	SB	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	WAC	0.03	0.03	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	38.46	38.46	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Horz	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.62	40.62	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	Pat	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	82.35	82.35	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	B10	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	CAA	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	Amer	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
South Florida	Amer	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	Amer	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Mercer	SC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00