live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

California

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:16.0
Current RPI:16
Expected SOS:15
Current Record:23-10
Expected Record:23-10
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC Record:10-3
Expected OOC RPI:50
Expected OOC SOS:83


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-1069.70%16.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for California.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Rice (279.0)CUSAH97-65W100%0.0
11-16UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH85-67W100%0.0
11-20East Carolina (217.0)AmerH70-62W100%0.0
11-23Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH89-63W100%0.0
11-26San Diego St. (41.0)MWCN72-58L0%0.0
11-27Richmond (121.0)A10N90-94L0%0.0
12-1Seattle (287.0)WACH66-52W100%0.0
12-5Wyoming (187.0)MWCA72-78W100%0.0
12-9Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH74-62W100%0.0
12-12Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH63-59W100%0.0
12-19Coppin St. (326.0)MEACH84-51W100%0.0
12-22Virginia (3.0)ACCA63-62L0%0.0
12-28Davidson (64.0)A10H86-60W100%0.0
1-1Colorado (35.0)P12H79-65W100%0.0
1-3Utah (8.0)P12H71-58W100%0.0
1-6Oregon (2.0)P12A68-65L0%0.0
1-9Oregon St. (33.0)P12A77-71L0%0.0
1-14Stanford (86.0)P12A77-71L0%0.0
1-21Arizona St. (99.0)P12H75-70W100%0.0
1-23Arizona (26.0)P12H74-73W100%0.0
1-27Utah (8.0)P12A73-64L0%0.0
1-31Colorado (35.0)P12A70-62L0%0.0
2-6Stanford (86.0)P12H76-61W100%0.0
2-11Oregon (2.0)P12H83-63W100%0.0
2-13Oregon St. (33.0)P12H83-71W100%0.0
2-18Washington (83.0)P12A75-78W100%0.0
2-21Washington St. (212.0)P12A62-80W100%0.0
2-25UCLA (102.0)P12H75-63W100%0.0
2-28USC (51.0)P12H87-65W100%0.0
3-3Arizona (26.0)P12A64-61L0%0.0
3-5Arizona St. (99.0)P12A65-68W100%0.0
3-10Oregon St. (33.0)P12N76-68W100%0.0
3-11Utah (8.0)P12N82-78L0%0.0