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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Colgate

Conference:Pat
Expected RPI:241.0
Current RPI:241
Expected SOS:270
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:251
Expected OOC SOS:274


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1741.38%241.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Colgate.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13George Mason (201.0)A10A53-66W100%0.0
11-16Cornell (244.0)IvyH98-101L0%0.0
11-19Albany (107.0)AEA88-67L0%0.0
11-24Fordham (176.0)A10A84-58L0%0.0
11-28UMBC (335.0)AEA63-71W100%0.0
12-1Binghamton (299.0)AEA69-50L0%0.0
12-5TCU (174.0)B12A76-49L0%0.0
12-8Syracuse (72.0)ACCA78-51L0%0.0
12-13New Hampshire (177.0)AEH75-59W100%0.0
12-23Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA76-60L0%0.0
12-30Lafayette (329.0)PatH77-70W100%0.0
1-3American (231.0)PatA37-56W100%0.0
1-6Holy Cross (248.0)PatA65-63L0%0.0
1-9Navy (216.0)PatH68-71L0%0.0
1-13Army (214.0)PatH80-66W100%0.0
1-16Bucknell (183.0)PatA73-84W100%0.0
1-20Boston University (196.0)PatH85-78W100%0.0
1-24Holy Cross (248.0)PatH76-61W100%0.0
1-27Lehigh (168.0)PatA79-70L0%0.0
1-30American (231.0)PatH49-54L0%0.0
2-1Loyola MD (255.0)PatA68-65L0%0.0
2-6Navy (216.0)PatA55-58W100%0.0
2-8Army (214.0)PatA82-72L0%0.0
2-13Bucknell (183.0)PatH91-81W100%0.0
2-17Boston University (196.0)PatA71-68L0%0.0
2-21Loyola MD (255.0)PatH93-90W100%0.0
2-24Lehigh (168.0)PatH54-71L0%0.0
2-27Lafayette (329.0)PatA79-77L0%0.0
3-3Army (214.0)PatA79-72L0%0.0