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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Gonzaga

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:46.0
Current RPI:46
Expected SOS:109
Current Record:25-7
Expected Record:25-7
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-0
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:87
Expected OOC SOS:54


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
25-778.12%46.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Gonzaga.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH91-52W100%0.0
11-21Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH101-56W100%0.0
11-25Washington (83.0)P12N64-80W100%0.0
11-26Texas A&M (18.0)SECN61-62L0%0.0
11-27Connecticut (32.0)AmerN73-70W100%0.0
12-2Washington St. (212.0)P12A60-69W100%0.0
12-5Arizona (26.0)P12H63-68L0%0.0
12-8Montana (145.0)BSkyH61-58W100%0.0
12-12UCLA (102.0)P12H66-71L0%0.0
12-19Tennessee (143.0)SECH86-79W100%0.0
12-21Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH99-73W100%0.0
12-23Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH85-62W100%0.0
12-31Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA77-79W100%0.0
1-2San Francisco (228.0)WCCA94-102W100%0.0
1-9Portland (249.0)WCCH85-74W100%0.0
1-14BYU (76.0)WCCH68-69L0%0.0
1-16San Diego (302.0)WCCH88-52W100%0.0
1-21Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA70-67L0%0.0
1-23Pacific (268.0)WCCA61-71W100%0.0
1-28Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH84-67W100%0.0
1-30San Francisco (228.0)WCCH86-48W100%0.0
2-4Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA63-92W100%0.0
2-6Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA66-69W100%0.0
2-11Portland (249.0)WCCA66-92W100%0.0
2-13SMU (13.0)AmerA69-60L0%0.0
2-18Pacific (268.0)WCCH90-68W100%0.0
2-20Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH58-63L0%0.0
2-25San Diego (302.0)WCCA60-82W100%0.0
2-27BYU (76.0)WCCA68-71W100%0.0
3-5Portland (249.0)WCCN92-67W100%0.0
3-7BYU (76.0)WCCN88-84W100%0.0
3-8Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCN75-85W100%0.0