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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Idaho

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:191.0
Current RPI:191
Expected SOS:315
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-12
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-7
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:165
Expected OOC SOS:220


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%191.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Idaho.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA54-74W100%0.0
11-17Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA68-45L0%0.0
11-23North Texas (295.0)CUSAA63-65W100%0.0
11-24Troy (293.0)SBN69-63W100%0.0
11-25Samford (252.0)SCN75-58L0%0.0
11-28Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH59-66L0%0.0
12-2Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH67-63W100%0.0
12-5Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH54-64L0%0.0
12-7USC (51.0)P12A74-55L0%0.0
12-10Washington St. (212.0)P12H78-74W100%0.0
12-22UC Davis (281.0)BWA51-68W100%0.0
12-31North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA71-74W100%0.0
1-2Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA70-75W100%0.0
1-9Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA74-60L0%0.0
1-14Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH83-76W100%0.0
1-16Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH83-85L0%0.0
1-21Montana (145.0)BSkyA58-63W100%0.0
1-23Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA70-68L0%0.0
1-28Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH63-65L0%0.0
1-30Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH56-55W100%0.0
2-4Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA44-68W100%0.0
2-6Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA72-70L0%0.0
2-11Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH73-67W100%0.0
2-13North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH65-64W100%0.0
2-18Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA74-80W100%0.0
2-20Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA68-65L0%0.0
2-27Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH66-62W100%0.0
3-3Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH62-58W100%0.0
3-5Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH80-70W100%0.0
3-10Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyN77-73W100%0.0
3-11Montana (145.0)BSkyN81-72L0%0.0