live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Oakland

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:116.0
Current RPI:116
Expected SOS:206
Current Record:21-11
Expected Record:21-11
Current Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-2
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:89
Expected OOC SOS:186


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1165.62%116.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oakland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH91-81W100%0.0
11-22Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA95-89L0%0.0
11-24Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA97-88L0%0.0
11-27Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACN84-51W100%0.0
11-28Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndN57-85W100%0.0
12-1Georgia (62.0)SECA86-82L0%0.0
12-5Robert Morris (291.0)NECA74-92W100%0.0
12-7Binghamton (299.0)AEH83-72W100%0.0
12-12Toledo (182.0)MACA64-76W100%0.0
12-19Washington (83.0)P12A83-97W100%0.0
12-22Michigan St. (12.0)B10N93-99L0%0.0
12-28Chicago St. (348.0)WACH101-93W100%0.0
12-30Virginia (3.0)ACCA71-58L0%0.0
1-2Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH86-68W100%0.0
1-4Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH98-100L0%0.0
1-8Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH67-84L0%0.0
1-10Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH86-61W100%0.0
1-16Detroit (204.0)HorzA82-86W100%0.0
1-19Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH73-90L0%0.0
1-23Green Bay (112.0)HorzA95-111W100%0.0
1-25Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA79-82W100%0.0
1-29Wright St. (146.0)HorzH89-63W100%0.0
2-1Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA74-85W100%0.0
2-4Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzA85-107W100%0.0
2-6Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA57-67W100%0.0
2-11Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH85-93L0%0.0
2-13Green Bay (112.0)HorzH111-93W100%0.0
2-15Wright St. (146.0)HorzA73-89W100%0.0
2-19Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA86-84L0%0.0
2-21Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA63-74W100%0.0
2-26Detroit (204.0)HorzH108-97W100%0.0
3-7Wright St. (146.0)HorzN55-59L0%0.0