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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Southern

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:186.0
Current RPI:186
Expected SOS:336
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-12
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-6
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC RPI:119
Expected OOC SOS:191


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1261.29%186.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Arkansas (133.0)SECA86-68L0%0.0
11-16Mississippi St. (154.0)SECA72-76W100%0.0
11-19Tulane (227.0)AmerH90-82W100%0.0
12-4Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA69-73W100%0.0
12-8Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA70-56L0%0.0
12-10Wyoming (187.0)MWCA58-68W100%0.0
12-15Memphis (139.0)AmerA72-67L0%0.0
12-18Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA83-76L0%0.0
12-21North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACN63-68W100%0.0
12-22Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumN53-74L0%0.0
1-2Texas Southern (190.0)SWACA88-66L0%0.0
1-4Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACA71-65L0%0.0
1-9Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH66-61W100%0.0
1-11Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH74-66W100%0.0
1-16Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACA55-69W100%0.0
1-18Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACA54-67W100%0.0
1-23Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH73-69W100%0.0
1-25Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH73-52W100%0.0
1-30Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH75-64W100%0.0
2-6Grambling St. (350.0)SWACA66-79W100%0.0
2-8Jackson St. (221.0)SWACA81-80L0%0.0
2-13Arkansas Pine Bluff (311.0)SWACH66-58W100%0.0
2-15Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH97-64W100%0.0
2-20Alabama St. (265.0)SWACA77-68L0%0.0
2-22Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACA78-66L0%0.0
2-27Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACA70-56L0%0.0
3-3Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH84-79W100%0.0
3-5Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH71-79L0%0.0
3-10Alabama St. (265.0)SWACN83-63W100%0.0
3-11Texas Southern (190.0)SWACA73-81W100%0.0
3-12Jackson St. (221.0)SWACN53-54W100%0.0